Games of WEEK 04

Bears +3 Cowboys 18 Bears 16 Computer Projection HIT: Bears 34 Cowboys 18

This should be a close, tense game tonite in the confines of the house that Jerry Jones built. The 3 points is a good spread. Look for both teams to score slowly, with FGs instead of touchdowns, much like the game last night. Matt Forte will start for the Bears. That's an offense that needs the running game to plod downfield and they should get it. We don't expect the Cows to be able to run the ball at all, but they should have a decent night passing at home. Just close, close, close is all we want. We'll take the points and hope we don't need them.

There is nothing mysterious about this pick. In order for the system to go with the Birds it has to project a good running game, which it does. The real surprise is that it calls for Matty Ice to go 31-36. That's an unstoppable passing attack. With those kind of numbers, any turnover by the Pants is worth 7 points. Still betting the minimum until the stats stabilize, but this one looks good for the home team.

Falcons -7 Falcons 33 Panthers 12 Computer Projection MISS: Falcons 30 Panthers 28

Broncos -6 1/2 Falcons 33 Panthers 12 Computer Projection HIT: Broncos 37 Raiders 6

There is at least a possibilty of rain in the afternoon but that shouldn't bother Peyton Manning too much - he won a Super Bowl in the rain. We would expect the passing numbers to go Manning's way but our computer is giving the Broncs a big edge in rushing, too. It's beginning to look like Oakland doesn't travel well.

We don't like betting road teams, we don't like rain, and we surely don't like betting on a team that is projected to lose the Total Yardage battle, but that's what we're left with. We bet the Sunday niters as a matter of preference - who wants to sit around watching a prime time TV series when there's a game on? Maybe we should spend some quality time with the family ... Nah! We do try to minimize the night games since we sacrifice selectivity. It's one of the biggest advantages a bettor can have, but all of our plays are at the minimum of one chip this early in the season. Taking the Giants and hoping the system is right about those turnovers.

Giants +3 Giants 25 Eagles 21 Computer Projection HIT: Eagles 19 Giants 17

The less said about Monday's game, the better. Gamblers bore the worst of this deal. We can say that because we know the money was heavily in the Pack's favor. It's funny, this league was built on gambling, but the first ones to get screwed over everytime are the gamblers. Tonite's game features the Ravens again, and again we are going to go with them. This is the first play offered by the system and three games of history are hardly substantial, so we'll keep the betting low. The key stat is points per yard - or points per rushing yard. Cleveland can have a decent run game but even when they do string runs together a penalty or turnover gets in their way. Baltimore, on the other hand, almost always makes their yardage pay off, even when the defense has an uncharacteristically charitable game like they did last week against New England. Going with the huge favorite at home.

Ravens -12 Ravens 34 Browns 19 Computer Projection MISS: Ravens 23 Browns 16

Good Luck Everyone!