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Redskins -3
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Redskins 28 Cowboys 25 Computer Projection
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| HIT: Redskins 28 Cowboys 18 |
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Washington's Mike Shanahan invented pulling up his teams when he was with the Broncos. There isn't much danger of him doing that tonight even though he has clinched a playoff spot already. It's not so much about winning the division or determining their next opponent, it's more about where they play. A win for Washington means they play in Washington. A loss means a 3000 mile trip to the west coast. Dallas is in a must win situation as well. For them, it IS a playoff game. Win and they go on, lose and they don't. The last game of the 2012 regular season should be a good one.
We are projecting only 56 yards rushing for Dallas. That's basically nothing. On the plus side for the Cowboys, they take one of the league's best pass attacks to Washington against a weak pass D. Whatever Dallas gets, they'll get through the air. The Redskins will bring a more varied attack. Most fans know about that option running game. What they might not know is that Washington's passing attack, while only ranked in the middle of the league yardage-wise, is the most efficient in the league. When the Redskins do pass, it goes a long way. In many ways it's a pick-your-poison offense. Pull up a safety to stop the option and give up a long pass play. We suspect the Skins will have success with both attacks at different stages of the game.
When this one opened it was a Dallas bet by the half-point hook, now that it has gone down to 3 we are free to bet either way. To people like us who want to bet the Skins way, be forewarned that the juice is tilted toward Dallas. You have to lay 6/5 to take the Skins, while the Cows are even money at 3 points. Make it a full play on what should be a great end to the season.
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