GRIDLINE's Primetime Plays
National Football League 2011 Season
Games of Week 10

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Plays for MNF, November 14th

Parlay:
Vikings +13
&
Vikes/Pack OVER 50

Packers 34 Vikings 23
Computer Projection

MISS: Packers 45 Vikings 7

Not much to say about a longshot game. The Vikes haven't played well against the pass this season, so make no doubt about it when we say we'd go Green Bay's way if not for the system.

With the large spread, this one should be just a matter of the Vikes keeping concentration throughout the game, even once it's decided. Some teams can forget the sins of the past and quit feeling sorry for themselves when it's a rivalry opponent. Besides, the kid at QB needs the work. Who are we kidding?

We made a couple of bad bets this week and it was compounded when we had a few NO SHOWS and some bad kicks. It all started when we turned a system winner into a loser by taking San Diego. We would go with the computer if we could turn back the clock. We can't, so let's just bite the bullet, put a little pressure on the system and make a Parlay bet on this one. It pays about 3 to 1 minus the juice.

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Plays for Sunday nite football, Sunday, November 13th

The Patriots D is starting to make a lot of other teams look like the Patriots of old. The Jets have been coming on lately, taking the gimme from Buffalo and outright manhandling the Chargers. A minimum play on the Jets giving points to the Patriots at 12 to 10 odds.

Jets -2 1/2

Jets 28 Pats 24
Computer Projection

MISS: Patriots 37 Jets 16

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Plays for Sunday, November 13th

Lot's of action this football Sunday. Everything starts at noon, when we have 6 games going at the same time. Our computer is a cold, hard, scientific machine but GRIDLINE's human component has been known to curse out the refs and coaches through the TV, and punch a hole in the wall every now and then (mark your studs before trying this). We'll know in just a few, short hours how it's going to turn out.

Panthers -3

Panthers 27 Titans 20
Computer Generated BEST BET

MISS: Titans 30 Panthers 3

We haven't had much luck with the Panthers, it seems like the times we take them are the only times they lose to the spread. For some reason, our computer loves them.

The only real quality unit out there Sunday is the Pant's offense. They're going against a fair Titan D. The Pants D and Tits O are just bad. Anything can happen there. We suspect that the Pant's O will be on the field most of the day, hopefully they'll do more good things than bad. We have to buy it down to 3 so make it a bare minimum play on the home favorite.

Browns -2 1/2

Browns 22 Rams 15
Computer Generated BEST BET

MISS: Rams 13 Browns 12

Hmmm, somebody's betting the Cleveland game? You don't see that very often outside of Cleveland. We don't see much here besides the HFA. Both teams will run the ball with the Rams a little better at it. And when they do pass Cleveland should be a little better at it. In fact, the Rams might find themselves going backward on some occasions. Betting one chip on the Browns. At least they've got Joe Cribbs.

The Cows may be a bit better offensively than the Bills, especially passing the ball, but more passes mean a bigger chance of interceptions in this game. Both teams are going to have to be very careful with the ball, and the Bills do a better job when they get down there - if they get down there. This is one where the points just might come into play although Buffalo is capable of winning straight up. Make it a lite, two chip play on this one.

Bills +5 1/2

Bills 24 Cowboys 23
Computer Generated BEST BET

MISS: Cowboys 44 Bills 7

There's not going to be much offense here as two of the top defenses go at it. Pittsburgh has one of the best passing attacks in football, but the Cincy pass D is excellent, too, ranking 9th in yards allowed and 2nd in yards/attempt. It could be wet and windy in Paul Brown stadium, and the Bengals are 2nd in recoveries while the Steelers are 22nd in fumbles. There's something about getting points in low scorers that we like. Call it another lite play on the home underdog.

Bengals +4

Steelers 22 Bengals 21
Computer Projection

MISS: Pitt 24 Bengals 17

Broncos +3

Broncos 23 Chiefs 21
Computer Generated BEST BET

HIT: Broncos 17 Chiefs 10

Both teams lack the ability to exploit each other's weak pass defense. There should be lots of rushing, and lots of punts on both sides of the ball. We see a game that either team can win. There is a situation here where Denver has played a much harder schedule. These are two erratic teams so we'll keep the betting down. Just one chip on the Broncos.

This is definitely a run vs. pass matchup. All things being equal, whoever finds a way to stop each other's strength will win it. We really can't see an advantage for either team. The computer's preference arrow points to the Lions, awarding them a full 27 points for their passing effort. It must have something to do with points per yard. In the first game, Lovie Smith, for some reason only he knows, wouldn't try to run the ball. We'd love to see that again. The Bears have been playing well of late, and the month long forecast shows them winning. Playing one chip on the Lions and hoping for the best.

Lions +3

Detroit 27 Bears 23
Computer Generated BEST BET

MISS: Bears 33 Lions 13

The 49rs are going to play their game on offense. Facing the 24th ranked rushing D at home pretty much assures that. The Giants don't have much of a pass D either so they can't really borrow from there. No, they'll just have to hang on for the ride and hope for a turnover or penalty. Did we say the 49rs were at home?

The real question in this one is how effective will that New York passing offense be? The Giants are really good at it, gaining the 7th most yards and being the 2nd most efficient in passing. Frisco ain't bad in pass D. It looks bad, giving up the 23rd most yardage, but know that teams can only move the ball against Frisco through the air. Per pass, they rank 12th in yards. We're a little worried about a late, backdoor cover by the Giants, but give us a good team at home any day. Call it two chips on the only game in town at 3pm.

49rs -4

49rs 29 Giants 20
Computer Generated BEST BET

HIT: 49rs 27 Giants 20

Okay, there's two games at 3pm but who's interested in the Baltimore/Seattle game? One day almost all of the games will be scheduled at Three and just the East coast teams will play at Noon. We can dream, can't we? We should be back by 6pm Sunday with the nite game.

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Plays for Thursday, November 10th

Just about everybody is taking the Chargers tonite even with the 7 points they have to give up. Our computer system doesn't give a darn but even GRIDLINE forecast a victory for San Diego. The problem is, the system points to the Raiders plus the touchdown, saying Oakland will lose by 6. We can't see the Chargers losing this game, and we don't like to try to hook the winners with points, so we'll chughee and try another 6-Point Teaser.

The first part of the Teaser is simple. As we said before we expect the Chargers to win, especially with that relentless passing attack at home. The second part is a little bit tougher. Even with the reduced Total it's still over 40 points, and we will need the Raiders to participate in the scoring, just not enough to win.

Here's hoping the Chargers take care of business, and both teams score a few points in the process. Call it a minimum play on a crazy Teaser.

Teaser:
Chargers -1
&
OVER 41 1/2

Chargers 29 Raiders 23
Computer Projection

MISS: Raiders 24 Chargers 17

Good Luck Everyone!

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