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Giants/Vikings OVER 48
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Giants 30 Vikings 27 | Computer Projection |
| Plays for MNF |
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It's weird to expect two of the worst teams in the league to go OVER, but that's how we're going to bet because, in addition to all of their other problems, these teams have two of the worst defenses in the league. The Vikes offense isn't that bad actually, ranking 17th in our Power Ratings. And while Eli may not be playing like Eli of late, he's still Eli. One has to think he can still light it up against a weak D. Freeman adds a lot of questions to tonight's game, but the Vikes are at home and some of those guys may keep their head down and do their job. |
| Plays for SNF |
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Tonite's play pretty much relies on the Colts offense. It's a unit that let us down last week as they all appeared to be suffering from monthly waterweight gain. The key for the Colts is to exploit the Broncs pass defense. That means tossing it on first down instead of running it. The Colts do have a good rushing game, but the Broncs run D is one of the toughest in the league. For the Colts, it's a matter of passing first and hope Denver rolls it defense back. Then maybe they can run.
On the other side of the ball, the Colts do play good pass D and we expect them to at least slow the Broncs down from their 'throw and dance' routine. The Broncos can run if they choose to, but that, too, is slow. We're really just hoping the Colts keep up with the Broncos for awhile. If it's a repeat of last week's performance we can forget the game and spend some quality time with the family. It's just that possibility, and the fact that we're buying the half-point at 12/10, that keeps this down to a minimum play. If your Outs are still holding at 6 1/2 we suggest you lower your bet amount and buy it up to 7. |
| Plays for Sunday Afternoon |
| With a new QB for the Texans this one is tough to call. The Texans figured to gain yardage on the ground anyway, and with a new QB they are likely to emphasize the running game even more. Especially against the Chiefs, who sport one of the league's top pass defenses. The Chiefs, too, figure to have a run based offense, but that's just their way. They'll pass only if they want to. The Texans officially are the league's best against the passing yardage anyway, but a lot of that is due to teams not choosing to pass on them after getting turnover gifts. Turnovers are the key to this game, and you have to expect that Houston will commit more after what they've gone through this season. Just hoping for turnovers in what otherwise would be tightly fought running game. Lite play on the Chiefs. |
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The Niners have slightly better numbers throughout throughout our rankings, but with the Titans at home we figure those numbers to even out. Neither team is particularly adept at passing - and they know it - so we have two tough running teams roughing it out. The Titans are trying to be like the Ravens of last year, with all parts being average and totaling up those parts into an excellent team. These teams are similar in style although Frisco might be a little more sophisticated in their concept. Taking the home doggie on another lite play. |
| Plays for Sunday early |
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This should be a tough game in that open-air stadium in Jersey. These are two of the better defenses in the league. The difference is the on the offensive end of the ball, where even an average Patriot attack should have more success than the inept Jets, who can't buy a first down. Last week we thought Geno Smith's light had come on after his excellent play in Atlanta, but that light turned out to be a flash in the pan as he failed miserably against winless Pittsburgh. With this play, we only have to hope Brady acts like Brady.
It should be a nice day in the Meadowlands so we don't expect the Patriot receivers to drop six balls like they did in the first Jet meeting. Let's make it a lite play on the visitors. As is our practice when the spread is 3 1/2 points, we always buy it down to 3 by upping the odds to 13/10 instead of 11/10, so we're actuallty risking 2.6 chips to win 2. |
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The Rams are trying to get some things right under Fischer this season. They protect the QB well, and they keep the turnovers down. We don't think that'll be enough against the Pants this week in Pant-land. The Rams have trouble moving the ball against anybody, and Carolina's D is one of the best in the league this year. Barring turnovers, we don't see where the Rams points are going to come from.
We do see where the Panthers points should come from. They have a very good rushing team that should perform very well at home, against one of the weakest run Ds in the league. Carolina already leads the league in possession time, and this game should be no different. The Panthers passing attack might not scare any one, but Fisher will have to empty the secondary to stop the run and we expect any pro team to exploit a stacked D. The Panthers appear to be on a win one/lose one schedule. They don't protect very well and they tend to throw INTs. That behavior has to stop if they ever want to be taken seriously. We think the blunders will stop tomorrow, so let's make this our first full play of the season. |
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This should be a very entertaining game in Philly, with both teams having their way offensively. The biggest impact defensively throughout the game for either team might be pouncing on fumbles. It's not hard to imagine either team jumping to a substantial lead at any point in the game, and losing it. In the end, we think somebody will win it with a field goal. It should be that close.
It looks as if Nick Foles will start for the Eagles but we don't see any real dropoff in production. The big difference between he an Vick is that you don't have to teach him to stay in the pocket and look for secondary receivers. If we did want something to look forward to, it might be kick returns, where the Cowboys have a decided advantage. This is a Best Bet but it should be a thrill ride. It's not an overly confident lite play for us. |
| Plays for Thursday nite |
| We may be sacrificing this one to the gambling gods but what choice do we have. It's possible the Cards defense will play well at home. They have a good run D and that's what is needed agsinst the Hawks, and maybe the safeties will stay behind the receivers for most of the game. The problem is that a single TD by Seattle may not be answered at all by the Cards. That's how inept the Cards offense is, and that's how good the Hawks D is. The only real possibility we see is the Seahawks susceptibility to penalties, while the Cards are much better in that department. It could mean something in Zona. NFL teams are 57-35 at home this year, and 51-37 ATS. Even home underdogs are 18-9 ATS. That's about all we have to go on for this one, the HFA and, hopefully, penalties in our favor. We are taking a very average team, with what looks like a short spread, against what may be the best team in the league. Betting the absolute minimum tonight. |
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Good Luck Everyone!
