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| Cowboys +7 |
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| Cowboys 32 Eagles 29 Computer Projection |
| Plays for SNF |
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Here we go with the last pick of 2013. Since this is SNF, we are almost forced to have some kind of action on this type of game - one in which the starting QB is down - and many times over the course of the season we might take a Total or a Teaser in this case. We're not going to do that tonite. The GRIDLINE algorithm has been so good to us we're just going to sacrifice this one to the football gods. Even with Romo starting we can't see why the system points to the Cows. Our best guess is that these two secondarys are so pitiful it really doesn't matter that one team - in this case the Eagles - can stop the run. In any event, Orton is a good passer, though he's not as mobile as Romo. We'd love to be more analytical but this particular game precludes that. Taking the home boys with the points on a minimum play. |
| Plays for Sunday Afternoon |
| This one should be a weather game. The winds are kicking up to over 20mph in Chitown as we speak, and some snow flurries are expected. It renders any statistical analysis useless. Much has been made of the return of Aaron Rodgers to the Packer lineup, and he is a great player, but we expect both of these teams to be grounded. That means both teams will face stacked lines as they key on the only thing they can do - hand the ball off. It pretty much comes down to who can hold onto the ball. That could easily be Green Bay, but it's slightly more likely it'll be the home team, and we are getting a few points. As we have always said, when the weather dominates, take the points. |
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| Plays for Sunday |
| The Lions can field a pretty good run D, so this game should come down to the passing games of both teams. While both teams go against relatively weak pass D's, the Lions have the more sophisticated passing attack and we expect them to get farther with it. Judging from the way these teams have been playing, lately, it's possible Stafford will have more than ample time to throw. The Vikes do figure to make better use of their yardage, so that should make this a close, close ball game. We'll buy this one up to 3 at 13/10. |
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| The Falcons have the pass protection to be dangerous at home, Carolina should have their running game but they don't score a lot of points and they don't figure to dominate the clock in this game like they have been doing all season. The Birds suffered a tough loss at Candlestick last week but this figures to be TE Tony Gonzales' last game so they should be able to concentrate. |
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| This one's a lot like the Detroit/Minny game in that we expect the Giants at home to hamper the Skins running game. Cousins is a good passer but we'll take Eli in a game like this every time. It's going to rain but we don't see an appreciable amount of wind so both offenses, though they can be scoring challenged, are free to exploit what can be exploitable pass D's. The odds are such that we only have to risk 12/10 to buy it down to 3. |
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It was really hard to pull the trigger on this one. We still have real misgivings about it. The whole bet seems to be riding on whether or not the Fins can run the ball. According to our Official forecast, they can't, but according to our Recent History forecast they can. The system seems to be saying that the Jets run defense is slipping over the last few weeks. That's what we'll hang our hat on. It's got to be hard to reverse course on the road in the last game of the season. We know Miami will outpass the Jets. Iffy bet here, like they all are. |
Good Luck Everyone!
