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| Bengals -7 |
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| Bengals 29 Chargers 20 Computer Projection |
| Plays for Sunday |
| It looks like both teams will have an efficient run game, but passing-wise we gotta go with Cincy. They're going against a weak pass defense, while the Chargers face one of the stronger pass D's in the league. It's the type of stuff that makes the Bengals the 4th best at time of possession, and this game should be no different. Trying a lite play on a home team that hasn't lost there all year. |
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| One degree, really, one degree? We often wonder why the league doesn't mandate at least a retractable roof on NFL stadiums. Thank God they don't play the Super Bowl in this kind of weather. Seriously, though, this game should be more about the behavior of molecules at extreme temperatures and constricted arteries than Aaron Rodgers and Frank Gore. We're just taking the points on basically a coin flip. We do officially have to buy the half at 12/10 but, unofficially, you should find it at -110 if you're so inclined. |
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| Plays for Saturday |
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This is a really tough call. When the early line came out at 2 1/2 our system was pointing the Chiefs way, but as it was bet down to 1 1/2 the 26-24 score projection toggled us Indy's way. It's never good when a point spread movement dictates your bet.
What we do see is a close, close ball game. Both teams should be able to do what they do. The game, like many games, should come down to a turnover, but it may also come down to game planning. The latter seems to be Pagano's forte, while Reid is among the best at managing the game. All things do appear to be equal but at least we have the home team. Home teams have done incredibly well this year, and we have done well since we adjusted our HFA early in the season. We don't know if that advantage will carry into the playoffs. In fact, we might be going the other way if we hadn't adjusted the HFA. We do suspect that something odd will happen. This is the playoffs, after all. Just a minimum bet to get things started. |
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The Official forecast points to the Saints but the unofficial, Recent forecast points the Eags way. We generally skip these type of games, but we have to make a choice, here, and we'll go official. The Saints are kind of our home team, anyway, so we're glad the GRIDLINE algorithm chose them. We have been known to bet against them on several occasions in the past.
The Eagles run game should work. The Saints aren't particularly good defending the run. The Saints pass D is particularly good and should offer some real resistance when Philly does need to pass, which they do to compliment the run game. It's how they score all those points. With the pass D stepping up, at times, the Saints defense will be effective. And the Eags pass D isn't as bad as everyone says it is. While they do give up the most yardage they are 20th in yards/pass play. That's adequate. In the Saints case, however, adequate isn't quite ... adequate. While the Eagles run D is good, it's wasted on the Saints. The Saints just hand off the ball to make sure their opponent is still defending the run. We expect the Saints to exploit the Eagle defense and score points. The Saints may score points but it doesn't mean they won't need them. Playing a good team at home will do that. We think the Saints will win, and if something goes wrong we think the 2 1/2 point spread will cover us, but we feel a little bit better at buying it up to 3 points at 12/10 odds. That last fact makes us lower this to a minimum play. |
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Good Luck Everyone!
