WEEK 07

These are similar teams. Zona is having a much better season, of course. With that defense, they often find themselves fielding punts already in scoring position. Despite the high profile losses of the last two weeks, the Ravens play a similar game. Like the Cardinals, you have to pass to beat them. Their problems begin there, having given up some huge scoring bombs. Their problems end with Flacco throwing INTs. If we can get Joe to concentrate like we have seen him do in the past, and if the Ravens will stay back in pass D, they'll beat the spread. Maybe win the game, although you would think a good team at home will win. With a large, climbing spread this game is becoming more attractive by the minute. In this age of consolation TDs, the Cards have to lead by 19 late in the game for Zona bettors to fully relax. Also, while we understand a team can fuck up San Diego-Style throughout the game, we can't see a Harbaugh team doing the same, and if the Cards do get a safe lead we suspect they won't push it.

Ravens +10 N/A Computer Projecton HIT: Cards 26 Ravens 18

Panthers -3 N/A Computer Projecton HIT: Pants 27 Eags 16

The GRIDLINE computer is nearly repaired and ready to go for WEEK 08, but before it makes it's first 2015 appearance, please indulge us as we make another emotional and biased intuitive decision. A week ago the Pants traveled to Seattle to play the NFC Champion Seahawks and beat them in their own stadium. Forgive us if we are of the opinion that nobody is going to travel to Carolina and beat the undefeated Panthers. Last year's team that (almost apologetically) made the playoffs came into this season intact and improved. We like Philly, but we think the Panthers all-around excellence will eventually manifest itself on the scoreboard. For a team that wants to dominate Time of Possession, the Eagles are made to order for the Panthers. Maybe this analysis is pretty rudimentary but we feel right about taking an unbeaten home team.

This game features two pitiful pass defenses and two good QBs. Usually, that bodes well for the home boys, but Brees is slightly better than Luck, and the Colts pass D is slightly worse than the Saints'. It should be OK for a lite play on the road dogs. The game screams flash touchdown, but at least we have points.

Saints +4 N/A Computer Projecton HIT: Saints 27 Colts 21

The Raiders have been playing well against slow scoring teams, but the Chargers are anything but. The Chargers score 20 just looking at the field, and they've already scored 30 twice at home. Philip Rivers has been tearing up the league even in losing efforts. A lot depends on Oakland's pass rush but we don't see a lot there. We'll bet on Rivers at home and hope for a higher scoring game.

Chargers -4 N/A Computer Projecton MISS: Raiders 37 Bolts 29

We are trying to manufacture a win by playing a TEASER tonite. We basically get to apply 6 points either way to both the Spread and the Total in this game. The actual odds are 6 1/2 and 42 1/2. TEASERs look good with the generous points, but the hard part is hitting two particular plays in a row. It's like a PARLAY, but it only pays like a flat bet. They are hard to hit. We don't like to play them. At the same time, if the oddsmakers are accurate - which we think they are here - ALL teasers can hit, regardless of who you pick. The bad news is that, on average, the oddsmakers are off by 10 points on both Spreads and Totals. Maybe one of those consolation TDs will work in our favor, tonite.

TEASER 49ers +12 1/2 & 49ers/Seahawks OVER 36 1/2 N/A Computer Projecton MISS: Seahawks 20 49ers 3

Good Luck Everyone!

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