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| Panthers -6 |
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| Panthers 28 Colts 18 Computer Projection |
| ATS Rec | Pct. | Chips Bet | Net Chips | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 08 | 3-2-1 | 60.0% | 8.9 | -1.4 |
| Season to date | 19-13-3 | 59.4% | 40.7 | 3.6 |
| Plays for MNF |
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It's possible the Colts can match the Panthers passing-wise, but the rushing numbers are all Pants in this one. We are projecting over 5 yards/carry for Carolina. They're the rushingest team in the league, and the Colts D is below average. A home team that can run the ball looks pretty good. We're sure the Colts will devote extra resources to stopping those guys, but the Colts pass D can't afford anything less than full strength. Let's try another lite play on the home favorite. |
| Plays for SNF |
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It's always scary to bet against the Packers. They have been a thorn in our side for years. It's quite possible that the Pack will out-offense the Bronco tonite. We're hoping that the Broncos red zone defense will rise to the task and hold the Pack to FGs when they get close. The Broncs do have the top rated D and they give up the fewest points, albeit against weak competition. Offensively, we're just "Go Peyton!" |
| Plays for Sunday afternoon |
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This is a bad looking play that we are taking just because we need an afternoon game. The Seahawks appear to have righted their ship after a shaky start, and the Cows appear to be slipping a little of late. We do have the home team. It's possible the Cows can wrestle the Time of Possession away from the Seahawks. They rank 2nd there. That's pretty much a necessity if you want to stay with them. There is also the possibility of pressure against the worst protecting team in the league. Cassel may not have it much better, but at least he has seen it before. We don't know how the Cows are going to score, so don't try this at home. |
| Plays for Sunday |
| These are two good passing teams and two poor pass Defenses. We're expecting about the same amount of passes, with more completions and longer yardage for the Saints. Eli's passes have generally been short ones. Brees has had his problems against a lot of pressure, but the Giants aren't known for pressure this year. They rank 31st in that department. If the Saints protect the QB they'll win going away at home. The odds are such that we have to lay 12/10. |
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| A lot of people don't realize that the Falcons have quietly put together a rushing attack. We think the Buccaneers will find out first hand in Atlanta. It should lead to a couple of long drives for the Birds. And we don't like to project turnovers - they don't have to happen - but the Bucs have given up the 2nd most points this year and we think it's because the offense turns it over, particularly on INTs. Combine the rushing and the turnovers and you have the elements of a party in the Georgia dome. It should be good for our first lite play of the year. |
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| Plays for Thursday nite |
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The Pats are listed as a Best Bet by our computer, but those numbers are based on the entire season. We are more concerned with the RECENT forecast, the one comprised of stats collected over the last month. The Fins have been playing inspired ball ever since the former great TE Campbell took over as head coach. That projection is much closer to the point spread. Both forecasts project a decided edge in passing and first downs for the Pats, along with a couple more punts from the Fins. Essentially, at some point in the game we expect to see a Dolphin punt followed by a string of completions for first downs, and ultimately the score. Let's start slow with a Minimum play against a fired up road team. |
Good Luck Everyone!
