Bears +7
N/A
Computer Projection
MISS: Lions 24 Bears 13
|
MNF Plays, October 10th |
|
Bears +7 |
|
|
|
N/A |
MISS: Lions 24 Bears 13 |
Our gut feeling tells us to go with the Lions tonight. Those guys are 4-0 and playing at home against a division foe, and yes, emotion does translate directly into adrenaline. The problem is, adrenaline doesn't translate directly into victories. It helps, but it doesn't do it alone.
This isn't a game where we need Hester to break a return or we need Cutler to have a really good night. That's just wishful thinking. What we do expect is for the Chicago run game to have an edge. When looking at the stats the one thing that jumps out at us is Detroit's poor ranking against the run. It's enough to make Matt Forte salivate. Of course, if the Lions have to stack the line to stop Forte that's OK, too. you just have to trust Lovie Smith to have a plan.
This is a live dog that could win the game outright. Detroit and Stafford still have the edge in the passing game so this should be a hard fought victory for either side. Anything could happen so we'll still bet the minimum while we wait for our computer to come in.
|
Sunday's Plays, October 9th |
|
Giants -9 1/2 |
|
|
|
N/A |
MISS: Seahawks 36 Giants 25 |
We meant to start with our computer picks today, unfortunately the GRIDLINE computer motherboard burned out. There's backups of the software but it turns out that the platform that it runs on is rare, so we'll have to delay our unbiased, scientific plays a week or so until we find an acceptable replacement. We'll still make more picks as we had planned, just be forwarned that these are people-based opinions and subject to all the weaknesses therein.
Betting against west coast teams travelling to the east coast to play an early game used to be one of our best kept secrets for years. It's 10am their time when they kick off, nobody is an athlete at that time. Meanwhile, the opponent is playing at 1pm. Perfect. Now, Vegas has gotten onto us (and our clients) and they're messing with our freebie. Last year, this would have been a 7 point spread.
This still should be a gimme but the Giants are declining as they get older and Seattle is only a handful of players away from being a really good team. Still, if one team screws up we have to figure it'll be the Hawks.
|
Bucs +3 |
|
|
|
N/A |
MISS: 49rs 48 Bucs 3 |
Speaking of screw ups, this team from Tampa is anything but. They don't even fumble, as we saw last week, and Josh Freeman appears to be through with those nasty Pick-Sixes. The 49rs have been impressive but it's hard to imagine this game being decided by more than a FG, and that happens to be how many points we're getting. We have to lay 12 to win 10 but it's worth a shot.
|
Packers -5 1/2 |
|
|
|
N/A |
HIT: Packers 25 Falcons 14 |
It looks like the Fat Man couldn't decide whether to make the Pack a 4 or a 7 point favorite so he split the difference and made it 5 1/2. That doesn't make our job any easier, it's just an odd spread.
It looked like we had the right team when we bet against the Falcons a couple of weeks back. That game fell apart when the Eagles got tired. Half of them couldn't get out of their stance, and the other half couldn't get into it. Atlanta ended up coming back and even beating the spread. If they do that again, the Falcs will become an official thorn in our side.
We hope Green Bay is in much better shape than the Eags. Just a few short months ago they went down there and beat them up real good in the playoffs. There's something about the Pack that makes the other team think it HAS to score, it may have something to do with Aaron Rodgers. We'll lay a chip on the line with the visitor.
There you have it, a full Sunday's worth of action in three easy plays. we should have the GRIDLINE computer up and running next week and we'll be able to increase our volume and even our magnitude as the season goes on. Until then, keep an eye on the site for our MNF plays and weekly updates.
Good Luck Everyone!
